Polling has been off by about 2.6%. This margin of error can often be explained by conservatives’ reluctance to answer pollsters honestly, compared to liberals who tend to be more forthcoming...
Sorry, but your prediction is incredibly disheartening. Losing the House is no small thing. Mike Johnson, imo, is an outstanding leader. It would be tragic if any one of the 🤮democrats would take his position. They are increasingly abhorrent, perhaps most seen in not giving a rat's ass about the safety and security of their fellow Americans.
I think it is very doubtful Talarico can win in Texas and Paxton wins. I doubt Sayed wins in Michigan as too many democrats are publicly walking away. That said, Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican in a long time, but the Democrats haven’t ran anyone so polarizing. Republicans have many paths to get to 53 senate seats.
While a GOP fantasy, Fetterman cannot win reelection as a Democrat as he can’t win the primary, but if he switches to the GOP, he more than likely retains his seat. He could switch parties if the GOP in the Senate should somehow fall to 49 or even 50. You heard it here first, though him switching are pretty long odds.
With the successful lawsuits against Fulton Country and obvious supervision, there is even a slight chance Georgia could flip. NC has tightened, but the Democrat candidate and former governor is just too popular. While I would dance a jig if Minnesota flipped, Democrats could hold. It is a pretty corrupt state in so many ways. I also wouldn’t be surprised if NH flipped, but Pappas is still strong even against a well respected GOP family name in the state.
As far as the house, the polls have moved aggressively to the GOP and that should continue. House seats typically go to the party who spends the most money 94% of time. GOP is outspending Democrats in every race, lead in voter registrations, lead in redistricting, and have strong ground games, and early voting has been decidedly Republican, with Democrat turnout down, and Republican turnout constant or up. Trump is campaigning hard and is energizing the base, and it is a mistake to underestimate him as democrats tend to do every election.
I think the Republicans do better than 210 and might even retain the house. The GOP could literally be as close as ending up with 214-220.
This is probably the last competitive House race for Democrats in the next fourteen years, especially if there are further redistricting (there will be in Indiana and Missouri for sure), and/or the Save America bill passes, and/or especially if citizens are the only ones counted in the census.
Trump and the GOPs legal teams are already out in full force. Lawsuits have already been filed in AZ, GA, and CA. Monitoring will be on an all-time high.
Lastly, there is no blue wave. While I mostly agree with Republicans +3% nationally, it could easily be closer to 4-5% in current red states. There could also easily be an October surprise that is not factored in which can come more easily from the GOP. We’ll see.
Defining a woman is easy. It's a person with a body part under their clothes that Trump likes to grab. He publicly said that in the Access Hollywood tape.
The pollsters have been wrong since 2016. They can claim they were right in 2020 but they weren’t because they lied and the Democrats cheated with mail in ballots and the fake news media colluded with them to steal an election. The fake news media is colluding once again with the left with liberals with Democrats with Democrat billionaires to try and rig another election by claiming that it’s going to be a clean sweep and the Democrats are going to win everything so don’t even bother going to vote cause you’re wasting your time🙄
That’s what all these people would like us to believe. As usual, they will be caught with their pants around their ankles once again because there will be another red wave in November. I have more faith in Americans, Patriots Republicans, conservatives and Christians. They are not going to allow our country to be taken over by the lunatic left and socialism and I wish everyone on the Republican side would stop with the frigging doom and gloom. I swear you’re all being paid by the same people to try and get us not to vote to just give up and turn our country over to socialism. It’s not going to happen. There will be a civil war first.
OK, I'm no pollster and I don't do the math. But I've been following and reading politics a LONG time. From what I have seen, people vote on CULTURE and HABIT, not on policy. Democrats vote on emotion, Republicans mostly really weigh facts. That's why Dems scream at protests and are moved by acting out, Republicans are disgusted by that, they want to hear coherent logic. NO ONE changes parties. What changes is TURN OUT. If people don't like the candidate, they simply don't vote. Democrats can be remarkably unaware of what their party stands for, and despite all their talk about being "different", they completely are sold out to the mob and NEVER defy them. They are completely propagandized. Republicans really research and know positions, but most will still never vote Dem.
Who is turning out? Who is energized? That is who will win. Right now, that is upside down. The republicans are actually turning out more than they expected, because usually the Dems are the early ones. Also, in blue areas, there are alot of shenanigans to steal ballots. Don't say it isn't so, everyone knows it. It's whomever counts the votes, that's how they've been stealing AZ, the blue gov is also the person in charge of elections... suddenly none of the ballots fit the machines a few years ago in the largest red county, right?
If people have always voted blue, they vote blue. If red, red. But if they HATE the candidate, and think, are they REALLY a communist? They may not get out of the chair this year. That's the turnaround. Look for WHO is turning out. GIVE YOUR MONEY to the TURN OUT people. The ones who drive people to the polls, the door knockers. Trump by going out and energizing the base is doing the work. It's going better for us than many think.
A key here is to watch the polling done by Rasmussen and Trafalgar. These pollsters historically poll several points to the right. If they are showing Dems leading, then the Rs have major problems. There also is Fox News polling which tilts somewhat right-ward and which is showing Dems up, but within the margin of error.
I'm thinking that the Dems pick up three Senate seats, for a 50/50 tie. Forget couch boy JD. The balance of power will be in the hands of the one Republican senator that Trump both hates & fears; Lisa Murkowski. Trump tried messing with her in his first term and he got owned.
"we'll have to wait for 2029 to try and advance conservative legislation again...."
And what might that be? There's classic conservative legislation. Then there's MAGA, Project 2025, and people like the Rev. Doug Wilson from Moscow, ID; one of Pete Hegseth's spiritual mentors; who wants to strip the right to vote away from women.
I keep hearing and reading political predictions. There are so many out there to predict. Can you please tell me what they are doing to change any outcomes.
These people get handsome salaries. Do they contribute financially, and, use their notoriety to push their viewpoints?
Sorry, but your prediction is incredibly disheartening. Losing the House is no small thing. Mike Johnson, imo, is an outstanding leader. It would be tragic if any one of the 🤮democrats would take his position. They are increasingly abhorrent, perhaps most seen in not giving a rat's ass about the safety and security of their fellow Americans.
Fact check TRUE ✔️💯 gotta turn Out and vote straight Conservative and Red ticket to save the Republic.
They stand for illegals not Americans
I think it is very doubtful Talarico can win in Texas and Paxton wins. I doubt Sayed wins in Michigan as too many democrats are publicly walking away. That said, Michigan hasn’t elected a Republican in a long time, but the Democrats haven’t ran anyone so polarizing. Republicans have many paths to get to 53 senate seats.
While a GOP fantasy, Fetterman cannot win reelection as a Democrat as he can’t win the primary, but if he switches to the GOP, he more than likely retains his seat. He could switch parties if the GOP in the Senate should somehow fall to 49 or even 50. You heard it here first, though him switching are pretty long odds.
With the successful lawsuits against Fulton Country and obvious supervision, there is even a slight chance Georgia could flip. NC has tightened, but the Democrat candidate and former governor is just too popular. While I would dance a jig if Minnesota flipped, Democrats could hold. It is a pretty corrupt state in so many ways. I also wouldn’t be surprised if NH flipped, but Pappas is still strong even against a well respected GOP family name in the state.
As far as the house, the polls have moved aggressively to the GOP and that should continue. House seats typically go to the party who spends the most money 94% of time. GOP is outspending Democrats in every race, lead in voter registrations, lead in redistricting, and have strong ground games, and early voting has been decidedly Republican, with Democrat turnout down, and Republican turnout constant or up. Trump is campaigning hard and is energizing the base, and it is a mistake to underestimate him as democrats tend to do every election.
I think the Republicans do better than 210 and might even retain the house. The GOP could literally be as close as ending up with 214-220.
This is probably the last competitive House race for Democrats in the next fourteen years, especially if there are further redistricting (there will be in Indiana and Missouri for sure), and/or the Save America bill passes, and/or especially if citizens are the only ones counted in the census.
Trump and the GOPs legal teams are already out in full force. Lawsuits have already been filed in AZ, GA, and CA. Monitoring will be on an all-time high.
Lastly, there is no blue wave. While I mostly agree with Republicans +3% nationally, it could easily be closer to 4-5% in current red states. There could also easily be an October surprise that is not factored in which can come more easily from the GOP. We’ll see.
🙏🙏🙏
If you are correct, there won’t be an America in 2029! Between the communists and the Muslims this country will be destroyed!
If you can't define what a woman is, you should be in no position to make decisions about anything with your thinking skills. Vote appropriately.
Defining a woman is easy. It's a person with a body part under their clothes that Trump likes to grab. He publicly said that in the Access Hollywood tape.
The pollsters have been wrong since 2016. They can claim they were right in 2020 but they weren’t because they lied and the Democrats cheated with mail in ballots and the fake news media colluded with them to steal an election. The fake news media is colluding once again with the left with liberals with Democrats with Democrat billionaires to try and rig another election by claiming that it’s going to be a clean sweep and the Democrats are going to win everything so don’t even bother going to vote cause you’re wasting your time🙄
That’s what all these people would like us to believe. As usual, they will be caught with their pants around their ankles once again because there will be another red wave in November. I have more faith in Americans, Patriots Republicans, conservatives and Christians. They are not going to allow our country to be taken over by the lunatic left and socialism and I wish everyone on the Republican side would stop with the frigging doom and gloom. I swear you’re all being paid by the same people to try and get us not to vote to just give up and turn our country over to socialism. It’s not going to happen. There will be a civil war first.
OK, I'm no pollster and I don't do the math. But I've been following and reading politics a LONG time. From what I have seen, people vote on CULTURE and HABIT, not on policy. Democrats vote on emotion, Republicans mostly really weigh facts. That's why Dems scream at protests and are moved by acting out, Republicans are disgusted by that, they want to hear coherent logic. NO ONE changes parties. What changes is TURN OUT. If people don't like the candidate, they simply don't vote. Democrats can be remarkably unaware of what their party stands for, and despite all their talk about being "different", they completely are sold out to the mob and NEVER defy them. They are completely propagandized. Republicans really research and know positions, but most will still never vote Dem.
Who is turning out? Who is energized? That is who will win. Right now, that is upside down. The republicans are actually turning out more than they expected, because usually the Dems are the early ones. Also, in blue areas, there are alot of shenanigans to steal ballots. Don't say it isn't so, everyone knows it. It's whomever counts the votes, that's how they've been stealing AZ, the blue gov is also the person in charge of elections... suddenly none of the ballots fit the machines a few years ago in the largest red county, right?
If people have always voted blue, they vote blue. If red, red. But if they HATE the candidate, and think, are they REALLY a communist? They may not get out of the chair this year. That's the turnaround. Look for WHO is turning out. GIVE YOUR MONEY to the TURN OUT people. The ones who drive people to the polls, the door knockers. Trump by going out and energizing the base is doing the work. It's going better for us than many think.
A key here is to watch the polling done by Rasmussen and Trafalgar. These pollsters historically poll several points to the right. If they are showing Dems leading, then the Rs have major problems. There also is Fox News polling which tilts somewhat right-ward and which is showing Dems up, but within the margin of error.
I'm thinking that the Dems pick up three Senate seats, for a 50/50 tie. Forget couch boy JD. The balance of power will be in the hands of the one Republican senator that Trump both hates & fears; Lisa Murkowski. Trump tried messing with her in his first term and he got owned.
"we'll have to wait for 2029 to try and advance conservative legislation again...."
And what might that be? There's classic conservative legislation. Then there's MAGA, Project 2025, and people like the Rev. Doug Wilson from Moscow, ID; one of Pete Hegseth's spiritual mentors; who wants to strip the right to vote away from women.
I keep hearing and reading political predictions. There are so many out there to predict. Can you please tell me what they are doing to change any outcomes.
These people get handsome salaries. Do they contribute financially, and, use their notoriety to push their viewpoints?